This collection features eleven resources on the topic of probability.

The resources feature:

  • Concept development lessons that focus on developing conceptual understanding of significant mathematical ideas.
  • Problem solving lessons that focus on the application of previously learned mathematics to non-routine unstructured problems.
  • Tasks that provide mathematically rich problems that come with work for students to peer assess.

The Mathematics Assessment Resource Service (MARS) is a collaboration between the University of California at Berkeley and the Shell Centre team at the University of Nottingham, with support from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. The team is known around the world for its innovative work in maths education.

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Representing conditional probabilities 2

This is a concept development lesson that is designed to assess how well students understand:

  • When conditional probabilities are equal for particular situations
  • Representing events as a subset of a sample space using tables and tree diagrams
  • Modelling using algebra

 ...

Representing probabilities: medical testing

This is a problem solving lesson, intended to assess how well students are able to:

  • Understand and calculate the conditional probability of an event A, given an event B
  • Represent events as a subset of a sample space using tables, tree diagrams, and Venn diagrams

The problem is...

Charity fair: assigning probabilities

This task is designed to assess how well students understand assigning probabilities and expected value.

The task looks at a ‘Lucky Dip’ game designed to raise money for charity. There are three barrels, each contains equal numbers of red, green, white and black balls. The game costs 25¢ to enter and players...

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